Question

Will Kim Jong-un remain the de facto leader of North Korea until (at least) January 1, 2024?

Resolved:Yes
12
11
Total Forecasters107
Community Prediction
99.6%
(99% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99.6%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
92.6
Community Peer Score
10.4
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:Jan 20, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 20, 2022
Geopolitics
2022-2023 Leaderboard