Question

Will the DART asteroid mission successfully impact in 2022?

Resolved:Yes

9 comments9

Total Forecasters58

Community Prediction

95%

(92% - 98%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

76.4

Community Peer Score

4.7

Authors:

cjcjameson

Opened:

Aug 14, 2022

Closes:

Sep 25, 2022

Resolves:

Sep 26, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 16, 2022

Asteroid May Hit Satellites And Cause Spectacular Shooting Stars — What To Know

Forbes•Jun 24, 2025

Earth's satellites at risk if asteroid smashes into Moon: study

•Jun 24, 2025

Earth's satellites at risk if asteroid smashes into Moon: study

•Jun 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will Artemis 2 successfully complete its mission?

23 Oct 2026

When will the first space mission remove more than one piece of space debris from orbit?

09 Oct 2028

Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?

1.4%

Authors:

cjcjameson

Opened:

Aug 14, 2022

Closes:

Sep 25, 2022

Resolves:

Sep 26, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 16, 2022

Asteroid May Hit Satellites And Cause Spectacular Shooting Stars — What To Know

Forbes•Jun 24, 2025

Earth's satellites at risk if asteroid smashes into Moon: study

•Jun 24, 2025

Earth's satellites at risk if asteroid smashes into Moon: study

•Jun 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will Artemis 2 successfully complete its mission?

23 Oct 2026

When will the first space mission remove more than one piece of space debris from orbit?

09 Oct 2028

Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?

1.4%