52 comments
136 forecasters
Will Holden win his Bet with Zvi about Omicron, conditional on one of them winning?
98%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 98% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 2, 2022
Closes:Jan 8, 2023
Resolved:Sep 22, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 3, 2022
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?
80% chance
28
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the global temperature will not rise more than 0.05C between 2015 and 2029?
0.1% chance
60
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the college enrollment rate will be greater than 26.6% in 2025?
99% chance
53