Question

Will any of the ongoing BioNTech mRNA cancer vaccine trials proceed to Phase III trials in 2022?

Resolved :No

10 comments10

Total Forecasters61

Community Prediction

(1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

36.6

Community Peer Score

12.6

Authors:

tomchivers

Opened:

Jan 5, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 5, 2022

Phases of clinical research

Bioethics

This biotech derivative play could nearly double, UBS says

CNBC•Mar 25, 2025

The truth about Covid jabs and cancer: After Piers Morgan's controversial claims about vaccines, we asked the experts. Here are their honest verdicts

Daily Mail•Mar 23, 2025

Why it would be utter madness to stop funding mRNA vaccine technology

New Scientist•Mar 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

80%

Will the cancer pill AOH1996 enter Phase III clinical trials before January 1, 2027?

24.2%

Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?

50%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

tomchivers

Opened:

Jan 5, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 5, 2022

Phases of clinical research

Bioethics

This biotech derivative play could nearly double, UBS says

CNBC•Mar 25, 2025

The truth about Covid jabs and cancer: After Piers Morgan's controversial claims about vaccines, we asked the experts. Here are their honest verdicts

Daily Mail•Mar 23, 2025

Why it would be utter madness to stop funding mRNA vaccine technology

New Scientist•Mar 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

80%

Will the cancer pill AOH1996 enter Phase III clinical trials before January 1, 2027?

24.2%

Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?

50%