Question
How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?
Total Forecasters37
Community Prediction
115k deaths
(49.8k deaths - 314k deaths)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <10k | 2.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 49.82k | — |
| median | 115.4k | — |
| upper 75% | 313.7k | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >10M | 0.4% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 6, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 8, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?
111k
How many deaths will be caused by terrorism globally in 2025?
24.4k
What will be the maximum global single-year death toll attributable to a single pandemic between 2022 to 2121?
38.2M
Authors:
Opened:Jan 6, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 8, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?
111k
How many deaths will be caused by terrorism globally in 2025?
24.4k
What will be the maximum global single-year death toll attributable to a single pandemic between 2022 to 2121?
38.2M