Question

By the end of 2019 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?

Resolved:No

4 comments4

Total Forecasters78

Community Prediction

20%

(12% - 37%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

46.7

Community Peer Score

19.9

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Jun 1, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2019

Resolves:

Jan 12, 2020

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 2, 2018

Natural Sciences

2018-2019 Leaderboard

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20%

Will gene editing of human embryos for therapeutic purposes be officially approved by any country before 2035?

60%

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53%