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In 2022, how many people will be charged by US DOJ with seditious conspiracy in connection with the Jan 6 Capitol attack?
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Trump II Cabinet Convictions before 2033
Current estimate
2.29 People
2 comments
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DOJ files charges against journalist under Espionage Act in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
21%
2027-2028
30%
18 comments
426 forecasters
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Current estimate
74.7 journalists
1 comment
90 forecasters
DOJ to indict high-profile US president opponent in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
Yes
2025-2026
63%
2027-2028
62%
16 comments
20 forecasters
Trump confinement date
Current estimate
01 Sep 2029
2 comments
94 forecasters
(Attempted) murder of ≥2 US judges or legislators in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
Yes
2025-2026
result:
Yes
2027-2028
75%
207 comments
818 forecasters
Donald Trump Incarceration by 2030?
2%
chance
2 comments
91 forecasters
≥10 US president-affiliated people to get a pardon/commutation in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
Yes
2025-2026
result:
Yes
2027-2028
95%