Question

Will the European Central Bank raise interest rates in 2022?

Resolved:Yes

20 comments20

Total Forecasters93

Community Prediction

99%

(95% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

26.4

Community Peer Score

7.2

Authors:

copacetic

Opened:

Jan 31, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 2, 2022

Verity

Economy & Business

2022 Leaderboard

Europe’s central banks are all cutting rates, even as tariffs tie the Fed’s hands

•Jun 20, 2025

Fed's Latest Economic Projections Hint at Stagflation Concerns

•Jun 19, 2025

Fed keeps rates steady, but sees fewer cuts next year on stagflation concerns

•Jun 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the Highest level of ECB Deposit Facility Rate before the next Euro Area (EA) recession?

3.22

Will the ECB (deposit facility) interest rate be negative before 2033?

13%

After 2022, when is the next time the US policy rate will reach the zero lower bound?

13 Apr 2028

Authors:

copacetic

Opened:

Jan 31, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 2, 2022

Verity

Economy & Business

2022 Leaderboard

Europe’s central banks are all cutting rates, even as tariffs tie the Fed’s hands

•Jun 20, 2025

Fed's Latest Economic Projections Hint at Stagflation Concerns

•Jun 19, 2025

Fed keeps rates steady, but sees fewer cuts next year on stagflation concerns

•Jun 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the Highest level of ECB Deposit Facility Rate before the next Euro Area (EA) recession?

3.22

Will the ECB (deposit facility) interest rate be negative before 2033?

13%

After 2022, when is the next time the US policy rate will reach the zero lower bound?

13 Apr 2028