239 forecasters

Will Russia invade Ukraine before February 1, 2022?

10%chance

10%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 10% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 15, 2022

Closes:

Jan 25, 2022

Resolved:

Feb 1, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 15, 2022

2022 Leaderboard

'It is time to call Putin's WW3 bluff': Russia's drone incursions are the signal NATO must now join the fight in Ukraine or risk European invasion, experts warn

Daily Mail•Sep 16, 2025

Trump envoy warns America could 'kick Russia's a*s' on the battlefield in the event of all-out war and says Putin's troops 'couldn't march to Berlin or anywhere else'

Daily Mail•Sep 15, 2025

NATO could spark all-out war with Russia if it shoots down drones over Ukraine, Moscow warns as Europe bolsters its borders amid invasion fears

Daily Mail•Sep 15, 2025

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