Question
How many successful orbital rocket launches will there be in 2022?
Resolved:178Total Forecasters56
Community Prediction
178
(173 - 182)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 173.4 | — |
| median | 177.9 | — |
| upper 75% | 182.1 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >300 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?178
Community Baseline Score
65.6
Community Peer Score
14.1
Authors:
Opened:Jan 27, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 27, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Jan 27, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 27, 2022