Question
When will Alireza Firouzja be the top FIDE-ranked chess player?
Total Forecasters25
Community Prediction
Nov 2034
(25 Jun 2028 - >Jan 2035)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 25 Jun 2028 | — |
| median | Nov 2034 | — |
| upper 75% | >Jan 2035 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2035 | 49.7% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jan 20, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 22, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Jan 20, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 22, 2022