Question
When will Alireza Firouzja be the top FIDE-ranked chess player?
Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction
Oct 2034
(30 Jun 2028 - >Jan 2035)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 30 Jun 2028 | — |
| median | Oct 2034 | — |
| upper 75% | >Jan 2035 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2035 | 49.4% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 20, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 22, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Jan 20, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 22, 2022