Question

Will Singapore be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters27

Community Prediction

25%

(19% - 35%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Jan 26, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2040

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2300

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 28, 2022

Natural Sciences

New IVF Tool Allows Parents To Screen Genetics of Embryos: Is It Ethical?

Newsweek•Jun 20, 2025

CEO Says New Tool Allows Couples To 'Genetically Optimize Their Children'

Newsweek•Jun 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Singapore be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

71%

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

56%