5 comments
74 forecasters
Will EA Global London 2022 be cancelled, rescheduled, or moved online again?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 23, 2022
Closes:Mar 25, 2022
Resolved:Apr 15, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 24, 2022
How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?
3719 people
(2197 - 6541)
3719 people
(2197 - 6541)
26 forecasters
Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017?
79% chance
90
In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to animal welfare?
12%
(7.17 - 18.3)
12%
(7.17 - 18.3)
18 forecasters