238 forecasters

Will Mike Pence be elected president of the United States in 2024?

2%chance

2%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 2% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

May 8, 2020

Closes:

Aug 2, 2022

Resolved:

Nov 25, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

May 8, 2020

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Trump tips his 2028 hand as secret cash pipeline is revealed

Daily Mail•Sep 9, 2025

Trump is kicking some of his fundraising money to Vance — has he picked a successor?

Independent•Sep 9, 2025

Big: JD Vance Talks Trump, Teases 2028 Presidential Run

Red State•Sep 9, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch