58 forecasters

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

40%chance

Forecast Timeline

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 31, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2040

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2300

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 2, 2022

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch