• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Question

Will Donald Trump spend any time in jail or prison before June 30, 2028?

67
223 comments223
Total Forecasters681
Community Prediction
11%
(6% - 21%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 11%
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
Authors:
converse
Opened:Jun 8, 2018
Closed:Jun 30, 2021
Scheduled resolution:Jun 30, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 8, 2018
Law
Politics
2016-2025 Leaderboard
American Thinker logo
Will the hammer ever fall?
American Thinker•Jul 9, 2025
Daily Mail logo
Will Trump pardon Diddy? White House insider reveals why they're putting the odds at '50-50'
Daily Mail•Jul 3, 2025
Independent logo
‘He used to really like me’: Trump has not ruled out pardoning Diddy - but would he really do it?
Independent•Jul 3, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

1%

If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

12 Sep 2029

Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?

41%
Authors:
converse
Opened:Jun 8, 2018
Closed:Jun 30, 2021
Scheduled resolution:Jun 30, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 8, 2018
Law
Politics
2016-2025 Leaderboard
American Thinker logo
Will the hammer ever fall?
American Thinker•Jul 9, 2025
Daily Mail logo
Will Trump pardon Diddy? White House insider reveals why they're putting the odds at '50-50'
Daily Mail•Jul 3, 2025
Independent logo
‘He used to really like me’: Trump has not ruled out pardoning Diddy - but would he really do it?
Independent•Jul 3, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

1%

If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

12 Sep 2029

Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?

41%
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature