Question
Will Donald Trump spend any time in jail or prison before June 30, 2028?
Total Forecasters681
Community Prediction
11%
(6% - 21%)
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This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
Authors:
Opened:Jun 8, 2018
Closed:Jun 30, 2021
Scheduled resolution:Jun 30, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 8, 2018
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?
1%
If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?
12 Sep 2029
Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?
41%
Authors:
Opened:Jun 8, 2018
Closed:Jun 30, 2021
Scheduled resolution:Jun 30, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 8, 2018
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?
1%
If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?
12 Sep 2029
Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?
41%