13 comments
92 forecasters
Will the Supreme Court find Harvard's admissions unlawful in SFFA vs. Harvard before 2030?
91%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 91% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 2, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Resolved:Jun 29, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 4, 2022
Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?
40.8% chance
38
Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?
20% chance
16
Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?
50% chance
50