17 comments
113 forecasters
Will the Supreme Court end racial preferences in university admissions in SFFA vs. Harvard before 2030?
93%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 93% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 2, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Resolved:Jun 29, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 4, 2022
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Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?
40% chance
38
Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?
50% chance
50
Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?
20% chance
16