Nigeria experienced nine attempted or successful coups between 1966 and 1993. The country exited military rule in 1999.
Recent (starting 2021) military coups or coup attempts in Western Africa and the Sahel region have occurred in Niger, Mali, Guinea, Sudan, and Burkina Faso.
Nigeria has been suffering from several severe issues in 2021, including jihadist insurgency in the north, kidnapping gangs, as well as resurgent Biafran separatism. In 2021, The Economist called Nigeria "ungovernable" and Foreign Policy called the nation a "failed state".
Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025?
This question will resolve positively if an armed group takes control of the government of Nigeria for a period of 7 days or more between January 1, 2022 and January 1, 2025. This coup need not be brought by violence or assassination of Nigerian heads of state, but must not occur due to normal democratic processes such as a free democratic election or voluntary resignation by heads of state. Credible media reports will suffice as a source.