85 forecasters

Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025?

1%chance

1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 31, 2022

Closes:

Dec 30, 2024

Resolved:

Jan 31, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 2, 2022

🏆 2021-2025 Leaderboard

Nigeria replaces top security officials days after coup plot denial

Al Jazeera•Oct 25, 2025

Nigeria’s president replaces top security officials as he struggles to restore stability

Associated Press•Oct 24, 2025

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161 forecasters