20 forecasters

When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?

Current estimate

17 Jul 2030

Key Factors

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Forecast Timeline

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

Natalia_Mendonca

Opened:

Jan 30, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2037

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2038

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 1, 2022

Natural Sciences

Social Sciences

The $10B Startup Behind the Revived Dire Wolf Reports Another Breakthrough

Observer (NY)•Sep 17, 2025

The real scientific insights from Bryan Johnson’s immortality quest

New Scientist•Sep 16, 2025

Sam Altman's longevity startup is testing a pill for a younger brain

Business Insider•Sep 14, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?

Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?