13 comments
28 forecasters
Will the Billion Oyster Project restore 1 billion oysters to New York Harbor before 2035?
45%chance
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Opened:Feb 23, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 25, 2022
Will a floating community with a permanent population of at least 100 people exist by the end of 2026, as reported by the Seasteading Institute?
5% chance
15
Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?
12% chance
38
When will the Chesapeake Bay receive a grade of A- or higher from UMD's Eco Health Report Card?
Sep 2073
(Aug 2056 - 2093)
Sep 2073
(Aug 2056 - 2093)
9 forecasters