Question
Will cost-adjusted IT technology be worse than it was 8 years (32 quarters) ago in at least one quarter prior to 2030?
Total Forecasters75
Community Prediction
22%
(15% - 33%)
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This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
Authors:
Opened:Jun 17, 2018
Closed:Jan 1, 2023
Scheduled resolution:Apr 30, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 19, 2018
Long Bets series: Will Private Nonfarm business productivity growth average over 1.8 percent per year from the first quarter (Q1) of 2020 to the last quarter of 2029 (Q4)?
48%
In January 2030, what will the Federal Reserves' Index be for industrial production of semiconductors and circuit boards?
591
Will the mean year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops in the TOP500 decline each 3-year period from 2025 to 2034?
47.2%
Authors:
Opened:Jun 17, 2018
Closed:Jan 1, 2023
Scheduled resolution:Apr 30, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 19, 2018
Long Bets series: Will Private Nonfarm business productivity growth average over 1.8 percent per year from the first quarter (Q1) of 2020 to the last quarter of 2029 (Q4)?
48%
In January 2030, what will the Federal Reserves' Index be for industrial production of semiconductors and circuit boards?
591
Will the mean year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops in the TOP500 decline each 3-year period from 2025 to 2034?
47.2%