Question
When will the next commercial supersonic flight occur?
Total Forecasters157
Community Prediction
>Dec 2030
(07 Dec 2028 - >Dec 2030)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 07 Dec 2028 | — |
| median | >Dec 2030 | — |
| upper 75% | >Dec 2030 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2030 | 50.3% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 11, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2031
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 12, 2018
Will there be a commercial service to travel between London and New York City in under three hours before 2030?
5%
When will an Adaptive Cycle Jet Engine be successfully used in the launch of a rocket to an altitude of at least 160 kilometers?
Jul 2034
By 2050, will it be possible to purchase a zero-emissions flight from New York to London for less than half US weekly household income?
40%
Authors:
Opened:Jun 11, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2031
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 12, 2018
Will there be a commercial service to travel between London and New York City in under three hours before 2030?
5%
When will an Adaptive Cycle Jet Engine be successfully used in the launch of a rocket to an altitude of at least 160 kilometers?
Jul 2034
By 2050, will it be possible to purchase a zero-emissions flight from New York to London for less than half US weekly household income?
40%