Question

Will the gray wolf be relisted as Threatened or Endangered by the US before 2030?

Resolved:Yes

6 comments6

Total Forecasters14

Community Prediction

64%

(52% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 64%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

-0.0

Community Baseline Score

0.1

Authors:

samuelraasch casens

Opened:

Feb 7, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 9, 2022

Environment & Climate

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Wolf Population Gaining Ground in Europe : State of the World from NPR : NPR

NPR Online News•Sep 1, 2025

Wyoming snowmobiler indicted for allegedly hitting wolf, tormenting wounded animal at bar before killing it

CBS•Aug 25, 2025

Legalizing Wolf Hunting in the US West Does Little to Prevent Livestock Loss

Mother Jones•Aug 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a wild grizzly bear be sighted in Colorado?

Feb 2036

Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?

44%

Will the Tasmanian Tiger be brought back from extinction before 2035?

18%

Authors:

samuelraasch casens

Opened:

Feb 7, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 9, 2022

Environment & Climate

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Wolf Population Gaining Ground in Europe : State of the World from NPR : NPR

NPR Online News•Sep 1, 2025

Wyoming snowmobiler indicted for allegedly hitting wolf, tormenting wounded animal at bar before killing it

CBS•Aug 25, 2025

Legalizing Wolf Hunting in the US West Does Little to Prevent Livestock Loss

Mother Jones•Aug 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a wild grizzly bear be sighted in Colorado?

Feb 2036

Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?

44%

Will the Tasmanian Tiger be brought back from extinction before 2035?

18%