Question

What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 4th, 2022?

Resolved:45.67

13 comments13

Total Forecasters31

Community Prediction

(45.4 - 46.8)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>70
community	45.39	45.96	46.79	0.1%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	45.39	—
median	45.96	—
upper 75%	46.79	—
Upper bound
>70	0.1%	—

What was the final result?45.67

Community Baseline Score

111.8

Community Peer Score

24.4

Authors:

srinivv

Opened:

Feb 4, 2022

Closes:

Feb 25, 2022

Resolves:

Mar 10, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 13, 2022

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making

Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 5

Health & Pandemics

2022 Leaderboard

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

43%

What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2028-2029 school year?

What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2029-2030 school year?

90.1