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4 comments
31 forecasters

What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 4th of March, 2022?

community
1711
result
1326
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
srinivv
Opened:Feb 4, 2022
Closes:Feb 25, 2022
Resolved:Mar 9, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 13, 2022
Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 5
Health & Pandemics
🏆 2022 Leaderboard

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

44% chance
34

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

115k deaths/year
(87.5k - 206k)
115k deaths/year
(87.5k - 206k)
87 forecasters

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4% chance
32
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