Question

What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022?

Resolved:667

-1

5 comments5

Total Forecasters29

Community Prediction

833

(528 - 1231)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>15k
community	528.2	832.7	1231	0.1%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	528.2	—
median	832.7	—
upper 75%	1231	—
Upper bound
>15k	0.1%	—

What was the final result?667

Community Baseline Score

98.6

Community Peer Score

11.7

Authors:

srinivv

Opened:

Feb 4, 2022

Closes:

Feb 25, 2022

Resolves:

May 2, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 13, 2022

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making

Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 5

Health & Pandemics

2022 Leaderboard

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43%

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4%

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

0.1%