131 forecasters

Will China's GDP Overtake the US Before 2030?

9%chance

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Authors:

Opened:

Feb 26, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 28, 2022

Economy & Business

In its rivalry with the US, China sees an advantage: the long game

CNN•Oct 24, 2025

China overtakes the US as Germany’s largest trading partner

Al Jazeera•Oct 22, 2025

US Trade War Slows China’s Economy

Newsweek•Oct 22, 2025

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