Question

How many named variants of SARS-COV-2 in its first 10 years?

Total Forecasters17
Community Prediction
18 variants
(15.3 variants - 23.4 variants)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%15.27
median18
upper 75%23.38
Upper bound
>5000.1%
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 22, 2022
Closes:Jun 30, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2029
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 24, 2022