FORECAST
Facebook Twitter
  • Embed
  • Copy Link
    •
  • Approval
  • Set Reminder
  • Share private question
  • Unsubscribe from question
  • View Metaculus Prediction
  • {{qctrl.question.communityIsHidden ? 'Show' : 'Hide'}} Community Prediction
    •

    Your submission is now in Draft mode.

    Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

    Submit Essay

    Once you submit your essay, you can no longer edit it.

    Pending

    This content now needs to be approved by community moderators.

    Submitted

    This essay was submitted and is waiting for review.

    Zelenskyy Remains President of UA by 2023

    Created by ClayGraubard on {{qctrl.question.created_time | dateStr}}
    Published by ClayGraubard on {{qctrl.question.publish_time | dateStr}}

    Question

    Related Questions on Metaculus:

    Volodymyr Zelensky was elected President of Ukraine in 2019 and his current term lasts until 2024. However, Ukraine is currently under the threat of Russian invasion and leaked information from UK and US intelligence agencies warn about the possibility of a Zelensky ousting.

    Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine by 2023?

    This question will resolve negatively if there is an announcement by the US-recognized government of Ukraine stating that Zelensky is no longer the president or that he is a president-in-exile, or at least three permanent members of the United Nations Security Council (China, France, Russia, the United Kingdom, and the United States) state that there is another de-facto President of Ukraine.

    Categories:
    Geopolitics – Armed Conflict
    Politics – European
    Ukraine

    Make a Prediction

    Prediction

    Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

    Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

    Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.