Question

Will more than 10,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?

Resolved:Yes

39 comments39

Total Forecasters387

Community Prediction

99%

(99% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

31.9

Authors:

ClayGraubard

Opened:

Feb 10, 2022

Closes:

Mar 17, 2022

Resolves:

Apr 8, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 11, 2022

Geopolitics

2022 Leaderboard

Russia deploys 50,000 troops around Sumy, threatening new push into Ukraine

New York Post•Jun 30, 2025

Russia launches largest airstrike since start of the war, Ukraine officials say

CBS•Jun 29, 2025

Russia’s summer offensive in Ukraine underwhelms but Kyiv won’t be celebrating

CNN•Jun 29, 2025

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