Related Question on Metaculus:
To date ~14,000 people have been killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War. The first year of the war was the deadliest, with just over 5,000 people dying.
There is talk of another Russia invasion on Ukraine this year with some saying it will be large scale. General Mark Miley, US Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, told Congress that a full-scale invasion could result in 15,000 Ukrainian and 4,000 Russian troop deaths. According to the BBC, two unnamed American officials predicted a Russian invasion could cause up to 50,000 civilian deaths. Will this year be the deadliest yet?
Will more than 10,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?
This question resolves positively if two credible governmental or intergovernmental reports report more than 10,000 deaths in the Russo-Ukrainian War for the year 2022, or there are at least two credible, independent mainstream media reports indicating a death toll above 10,000. The death counts include both civilian and military lives.