Question

What percent of US population will live in Texas in the next census?

Total Forecasters11
Community Prediction
9.18%
(8.98% - 9.65%)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<6.9%0.2%
Quartiles
lower 25%8.984%
median9.182%
upper 75%9.649%
Upper bound
>10.9%1.5%
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 26, 2022
Closes:Feb 2, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Dec 5, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 28, 2022