30 comments
85 forecasters
Will Republicans support embryo selection for intelligence more than Democrats?
40%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 19, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2300
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 20, 2022
Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
5% chance
62
Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
40% chance
58
Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
15% chance
78