Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
53
comments
483
forecasters
Will Tesla become the largest car company in the world (by sales) before 2035?
3%
chance
Share
Predict
Top Key Factors
View all (1)
Events changed my mind
Impact
Increases Likelihood
Strength
0 vote
Comments
Timeline
In the News
Key Factors
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Resolution Criteria
Key Factors
Background Info
Histogram
Follow
embed
Authors:
jzima
Opened:
Jun 22, 2018
Closes:
Dec 31, 2035
Scheduled resolution:
Dec 31, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:
Jun 23, 2018
Economy & Business
News Match
Elon Musk's "polarizing and partisan actions" hurt Tesla sales, Yale study finds
CBS
•
Oct 30, 2025
Musk Again Valued At $500 Billion—Still Only Person Ever
Forbes
•
Oct 29, 2025
Tesla Q3: Numbers You May Have Missed
Forbes
•
Oct 27, 2025
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
How many vehicles will Tesla report producing in 2025?
1.84M vehicles
(1.64M - 2.32M)
1.84M vehicles
(1.64M - 2.32M)
81
forecasters
How many vehicles will Tesla report producing in each of the following years?
2040
5.5M
2035
4.64M
2030
4.18M
4 others
10
forecasters
What will Tesla's market capitalization be on January 1, 2030?
1623 B USD
(641 - >2500)
1623 B USD
(641 - >2500)
103
forecasters
Show More Questions
