2 comments
35 forecasters
In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults agreed with the statement, “I support a global ban on the development of sentience in robots/AIs.”?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 28, 2022
Closes:Mar 13, 2022
Resolved:Mar 23, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 2, 2022
Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?
15% chance
1.3k
What percentage of AI alignment experts surveyed in 2029 will consider alignment techniques at the time to be sufficient?
34.1%
(17.7 - 51)
34.1%
(17.7 - 51)
36 forecasters
What percentage of Americans will consider AI or advancement of computers/technology to be the most important problem in January 2028?
20 % mentioning
(9 - 37)
20 % mentioning
(9 - 37)
143 forecasters