48 comments
379 forecasters
Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2024?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 22, 2018
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolved:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 23, 2018
Will Psilocybin be removed from Schedule I List before 2036?
70% chance
56
How many countries will, at least in some form, decriminalize possession of all Schedule I drugs for personal use by 2070?
59.6 countries
(31.3 - 82.7)
59.6 countries
(31.3 - 82.7)
30 forecasters
When will legal international trade in recreational cannabis take place?
23 Apr 2030
(29 Dec 2028 - Jan 2032)
23 Apr 2030
(29 Dec 2028 - Jan 2032)
10 forecasters