7 comments
47 forecasters
In the 2021 AIMS survey, what percentage of US adults answered “Yes” to the statement, “Do you think it could ever be possible for robots/AIs to be sentient?”
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 28, 2022
Closes:Mar 13, 2022
Resolved:Mar 23, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 2, 2022
Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?
15% chance
1.3k
Will Rob Long believe there is conscious AI before 2030?
60% chance
28
What percentage of AI alignment experts surveyed in 2029 will consider alignment techniques at the time to be sufficient?
34.1%
(17.7 - 51)
34.1%
(17.7 - 51)
36 forecasters