🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

If Russia invades Ukraine, will +1,000 Russian soldiers be killed by Ukrainian forces in 2022 and 2023?

Resolved :Yes99%
20
64
Total Forecasters357
Community Prediction99% (99% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
8.3
Community Peer Score
1.1
Authors:
wobblybobby
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
2022-2023 Leaderboard
United Nations Security Council
Armed Forces of Ukraine
Donetsk People's Republic
Russo-Ukrainian War
Luhansk People's Republic
Temporarily occupied and uncontrolled territories of Ukraine
Ukraine
Crimea
Russia

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