Your submission is now in Draft mode.

Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

Submit Essay

Once you submit your essay, you can no longer edit it.


This content now needs to be approved by community moderators.


This essay was submitted and is waiting for review.

Smallsat Launches in 2022


The satellite launch market spans a range of satellite sizes, from tens of tons down to a few kg or less. "Small" satellites are generally considered to be 1200 kg and below. Most launches are larger capacity, with many small satellites flying as secondary payloads on larger vehicles, or with multiple satellites of a constellation flying on a single launch. However, there are several operational launch vehicles dedicated to small satellite launch, including Minotaur, Pegasus, and Electron. Several others are under active development, including Astra's Rocket 3 and Virgin Orbit's LauncherOne.

As of 2022-02-19, there has been one such launch in 2022: the January 13th launch of LauncherOne.

How many smallsat launches will there be in 2022?

This question will resolve as the number of successful orbital launches in the calendar year 2022 with 1200kg or less of total payload mess. Launch data will come from the following sources which have less than or equal to 1.200t of payload mass. For launches with no listed payload mass, the nominal launch capacity of the rocket will be used.

While "Small" satellites sometimes mean specifically the range of 600kg-1200kg, for this question all "small" launches will be considered, even if they have less than 600kg of payload.

Test payloads and dummy payloads will be included, provided that the payload successfully reaches orbit.

Industry – Space

Make a Prediction


Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.