Question
How far from Earth (in km) is the nearest celestial object with stable liquid water on its surface?
Total Forecasters8
Community Prediction
251T km
(74.2T km - 1.1×10¹⁵ km)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <300k km | 0.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 74.18T km | — |
| median | 251.2T km | — |
| upper 75% | 1.1×10¹⁵ km | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1×10¹⁸ km | 2.5% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 21, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 23, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Oct 21, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 23, 2022