Question

What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on March 11, 2022?

Resolved:614

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Total Forecasters21

Community Prediction

706

(610 - 800)

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CDF

	<0	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>4000
community	0.4%	609.8	705.6	799.9	0.1%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<0	0.4%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	609.8	—
median	705.6	—
upper 75%	799.9	—
Upper bound
>4000	0.1%	—

What was the final result?614

Community Baseline Score

91.9

Community Peer Score

32.9

Authors:

srinivv

Opened:

Feb 25, 2022

Closes:

Mar 4, 2022

Resolves:

Mar 17, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 28, 2022

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making

Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 6

Health & Pandemics

2022 Leaderboard

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

43%

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

0.1%

What will be the peak Covid-19 Hospitalization rate (new admissions per week per million) in the US in these years?

142