783 forecasters

Will more than 100,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?

99%chance

99%chance

Ambiguous

Ambiguous

The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Ambiguous.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

ClayGraubard casens

Opened:

Feb 25, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolved:

Mar 3, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 25, 2022

Ukraine Conflict

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