Question

Will there be an armed conflict in the South China Sea before 2023?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters166
Community Prediction
1%
(1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
84.6
Community Peer Score
9.4
Opened:Mar 8, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 7, 2022