143 forecasters

Will a member of the Chinese Politburo be expelled or arrested in 2022 or 2023?

1%chance

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Mar 8, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolved:

Dec 31, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

May 13, 2022