Question
How many quantum computing patents will China have filed before 2024?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters57
Community Prediction
1475
(1331 - 1724)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <956 | 3.0% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 1331 | — |
| median | 1475 | — |
| upper 75% | 1724 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2000 | 14.1% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
-1.0
Community Peer Score
53.6
Authors:
Opened:Mar 1, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Feb 5, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:May 7, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Mar 1, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Feb 5, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:May 7, 2022