Question

What will be the average annual level of PM2.5 in Beijing, China in 2023?

Resolved:38.895
Total Forecasters41
Community Prediction
39.2
(36.5 - 42.4)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<200.5%
Quartiles
lower 25%36.46
median39.25
upper 75%42.42
Upper bound
>601.0%

What was the final result?38.895

Community Baseline Score
47.6
Community Peer Score
32.3
Opened:Mar 15, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 2, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:May 20, 2022