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Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

Key Factor

Textualist interpretation

12%chance

Key Factor

Textualist interpretation

Announcing the Winners of the Q2 2025 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2
no comments0
Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Will computer science and engineering see a greater percentage decrease (or smaller increase) in the number of enrolled international students in Trump's first year compared to other fields?

Forecast revealed in 2 days

What will the National Science Foundation’s budget be in these fiscal years?

Key Factor

- Historical context of Trump's budget cuts

Key Factor

- Historical context of Trump's budget cuts

Will any U.S. state experience a permanent population decline of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?

4%chance
56% this week

What will the National Institutes of Health’s budget be in these fiscal years?

Will the number of new F-1 visas issued by the US to students from China or India decrease by >10% in FY 2025?

Forecast revealed in 2 days

Will any part of California's Prop 12 or Related Measures be nullified before January 20th, 2029?

Forecast revealed tomorrow

By 2026, will a significant portion of Escambia County high school students report having close friends of different races?

52.5%chance

Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Kim Davis v. David Ermold et al before January 15, 2026?

75%chance
9% today