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condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
Resolved :
Yes
10 forecasters
if yes
if no
US Annual Drug Overdose Deaths? (2028)
116k
US Annual Drug Overdose Deaths? (2028)
113k
Resolved :
Annulled
113k
2
1 comment
1
2024 Electoral Consequences
condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
Resolved :
Yes
5 forecasters
if yes
if no
National US Measles Vaccinations 2028-2029?
91.5
National US Measles Vaccinations 2028-2029?
92.1
Resolved :
Annulled
92.1
1
no comments
0
2024 Electoral Consequences
condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
Resolved :
Yes
7 forecasters
if yes
if no
Share of US GDP Spent on Healthcare in 2030?
17.5
Share of US GDP Spent on Healthcare in 2030?
17.5
Resolved :
Annulled
17.5
2
no comments
0
2024 Electoral Consequences
Will the study in Ghana find that RTS,S combined with malaria chemoprevention reduces clinical malaria more than RTS,S alone in the following age groups?
18 months old
80%
24 months old
67%
6 comments
6
Forecast With GiveWell
Will the study of supplying eyeglasses to near-vision impaired adults in Kenya and India find a boost to household consumption of the following levels?
≥3%
45%
≥5%
30%
6
8 comments
8
Forecast With GiveWell
Will the World Health Organization prequalify moxidectin before 2027?
88%
24 forecasters
2
9 comments
9
Forecast With GiveWell
Will GiveWell recommend grants of more than $5 million to support delivering chlorine and/or oral rehydration solution and zinc along with vaccine outreach services?
82%
13 forecasters
1
4 comments
4
Forecast With GiveWell
Will the study of oral rehydration solution and zinc distribution in Sierra Leone find a statistically significant increase in ORS/zinc usage by the recipients?
92%
24 forecasters
2
14 comments
14
Forecast With GiveWell
Will the study of chlorine distribution in Sierra Leone find a statistically significant increase in chlorine usage by the recipients?
90%
19 forecasters
2
6 comments
6
Forecast With GiveWell
How many chlorination grants will GiveWell recommend after September 20, 2024, and before January 1, 2026?
3
24.9%
4
23.7%
2
22.61%
4 others
2
1 comment
1
Forecast With GiveWell
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