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Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?
3%
16
23 comments
23
Orbital Allies: How Space Technology Fuels Sustainable Development and Climate Action
9
1 comment
1
Space Technology & Climate
Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?
34%
4
3 comments
3
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?
5%
34
52 comments
52
Ragnarök Series
Climate — Last Wave and $2,500 for Comments
9
4 comments
4
Climate Tipping Points Round 2
condition
EU Meets 2030 Climate Targets?
if yes
if no
First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?
2038-10-25
First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?
2043-09-22
2
1 comment
1
The Climate Tipping Points Tournament
16
1 comment
1
Climate Tipping Points
Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?
20%
19
8 comments
8
condition
EU Meets 2030 Climate Targets?
if yes
if no
Global Warming in 2100 over 1880 Baseline
2.4
Global Warming in 2100 over 1880 Baseline
2.96
9
no comments
0
If >100 offensive nuclear detonations occur in a single conflict by 2030, will this cause a global temperature drop of ≥3°C?
25%
4
13 comments
13
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
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